Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.763726 1.914295 2.074190 2.257044 2.460865 2.681643 2.939635
2025-12-21 1.491914 1.689764 1.911630 2.180317 2.498841 2.866803 3.327540
2025-12-28 1.353665 1.582427 1.849648 2.187790 2.608467 3.120195 3.798471
2026-01-04 1.259916 1.510800 1.813737 2.211228 2.726209 3.381002 4.293298
2026-01-11 1.187806 1.455374 1.787721 2.237704 2.841840 3.640986 4.806203
2026-01-18 1.126488 1.406373 1.762728 2.258819 2.946522 3.889616 5.324031
2026-01-25 1.067644 1.354874 1.728597 2.261842 3.022570 4.100581 5.805474
2026-02-01 0.998250 1.284020 1.662592 2.214013 3.020005 4.194684 6.116591
2026-02-08 0.942415 1.227482 1.611509 2.181827 3.034870 4.312068 6.471830
2026-02-15 0.898550 1.184417 1.575754 2.167906 3.073704 4.466322 6.900084
2026-02-22 0.877012 1.170851 1.580074 2.211924 3.202363 4.770222 7.612886
2026-03-01 0.840885 1.134383 1.548942 2.199820 3.241116 4.930591 8.091666
2026-03-08 0.803095 1.094268 1.511157 2.176356 3.261938 5.066482 8.550409
2026-03-15 0.754511 1.036151 1.443716 2.102415 3.194570 5.045778 8.712142
2026-03-22 0.730870 1.013600 1.428278 2.109422 3.261870 5.264893 9.365916
2026-03-29 0.712826 0.998379 1.422902 2.131774 3.356185 5.540108 10.169673
2026-04-05 0.696722 0.985187 1.419714 2.157040 3.456811 5.835684 11.058615
2026-04-12 0.680490 0.970938 1.413925 2.177192 3.549247 6.123922 11.975051
2026-04-19 0.661483 0.951469 1.398723 2.180076 3.609884 6.355274 12.798132
2026-04-26 0.633337 0.916508 1.356932 2.134426 3.576532 6.394627 13.174634
2026-05-03 0.610028 0.888269 1.324774 2.103699 3.568874 6.485126 13.687973
2026-05-10 0.591591 0.867072 1.303202 2.090408 3.593496 6.644869 14.399644
2026-05-17 0.584942 0.864498 1.312263 2.132432 3.729082 7.054984 15.832489